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Feeling
good? May not be for long. For, the Planning Commission may boast
of creating 84 lakh jobs annually, but India's growing population
is by and large jobless, according to experts. This has become
the biggest challenge, as the economic recovery hasn't seen much
job creation. An estimated 35 million Indians are unemployed and
another 20 million young people will enter the market in the next
four years.
While
corporate India is bullish on the prospects of high economic growth,
no new jobs are being created on the manufacturing shopfloor,
according to an analysis done by the Federation of Indian Chamber
of Commerce and Industry.
India's
employment statistics present a disturbing picture. The 10th Planning
Commission document has already warned that at present the country's
infrastructure won't be able to provide jobs for new entrants
or clear the backlog. Unemployment may go up from 9.21 per cent
in 2002 to 9.79 per cent in 2007.
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"It
is a time-bomb waiting to explode. We need to have a clear
roadmap to where jobs are going to come from," says
London-based Dr. Madhav Mehra, president of the World Council
for Corporate Governance.
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Disturbing
figures |
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35
million people are unemployed
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20
million will enter the labour force in 4 years
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Unemployement
may go up to 9.79 per cent in 2007
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"There
is no doubt that India has had a dramatic success in the last
two years, but actually a delusion." Dr Mehra adds, that
India needs to be cautions as the future is bleak with jobless
growth.
The
biggest worry is 54 per cent of India's population is under the
age of 25 and a majority of them have no inclination to work in
the agriculture sector. According to the Planning Commission,
there are 212 million people (aged 14-24), but only 107 million
have jobs, Moreover, nine percent of the country's workforce is
in the organized sector.
There
is hot hiring only in IT and to an extent in housing. Only an
estimated 170,000 are employed in India's call centers in the
last three years and Nasscom expects a million people will be
employed in call centers and back office jobs in 2008.
For
the rest," It is a very disturbing scenario. There will be
unrest unless we wake up now," says Amit Mitra, secretary
general, FICCI. " We need flexible labor laws, access of
finance to small enterprises, removal of inspector-raj, There
is need to connect vocational education centers like ITIs to industry
needs." Mitra maintained that legislative changes in labor
policy could create over 4 million jobs in manufacturing alone.
Today, companies deploy capital-intensive technology instead of
employing human labor. FICCI president Y K Modi said US retail
major Walmart wanted to source textiles from India, but only from
a couple of people, " We are losing out in that deal because
no-one here wants to take a risk by employing 5,000 people permanently,"
said Modi.
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